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Six-month bird flu lockdown possible
14 December 2005
By LEE MATTHEWS
Emergency managers are warning that a bird flu pandemic could last up to six months and people should be prepared to stay indoors that long.
Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management readiness manager Mike O'Leary said a bird flu pandemic could strike in multiple waves, lasting up to six months.
"Three waves of approximately eight weeks each is what we are planning for," Mr O'Leary told Human Resources magazine.
Local Government Online chief executive Jim Higgins said it is rubbish to think a pandemic would last a few days.
". . .I've heard people on television speaking of a pandemic lasting a week or two, and I think, 'That's complete rubbish.' More likely a pandemic is going to last for three to six months, with two or three waves of infection."
Local Government Online would be key to providing information during an pandemic.
New Zealand's existing emergency response planning is for short, sharp disasters, such as earthquakes or floods, with mop-up afterward.
"When you think about all the (emergency response) planning that's been done to date, none of it includes anything about not being able to go outside for an extended period of perhaps three to six months. This threat is unique," Mr Higgins said.
Mr O'Leary also warned New Zealand would large
ly have to manage alone: "Public expectations will be high that relief will come to them, but there will be no cavalry coming over the horizon."
Bird flu is now only a threat, but health experts are worried that a small mutation of the H5N1 virus could let it transmit between humans, and humans have no natural immunity to it.
Health Ministry senior clinical adviser Andrea Forde said the key to surviving any pandemic will be in how well prepared people are, how quickly people can respond and how soon recovery happens.
A pandemic outbreak would see quarantine measures imposed, closing schools and workplaces to prevent infection from spreading. International borders would also be closed, affecting exports and imports. The experts say it could take months to get business functioning again. Getting back to normal would take longer.
Mr Higgins said businesses had to accept the pandemic is going to happen and to start planning.
"It's not a Y2K scenario. If businesses fail to heed this and do not have contingency plans in place, they will most likely grind to a halt."
Ministry of Economic Development resources and networks director Tony Fenwick said a pandemic would see businesses close either because they had to or through reduced demand.
Key industries must plan now for a pandemic, Mr Fenwick said.
"Undisrupted provision of key infrastructure services, the food-supply chain, the capacity of the health sector, the continued operation of banking-payments systems and the legal system are areas we must focus on," he said.
Mr Higgins said the chance of containing bird flu, as Sars was contained, may be remote because of the more infectious nature of influenza.
". . .so we have to look at ways to ride a pandemic out. One of the best ways to do that will be to limit personal contact," he said.
That means businesses have to immediately start looking at ways staff can work from home. Email and telecommunications will be the top tools to keep functioning.
"This really is the sort of line we have to follow to avoid unnecessary infection."
http://www.stuff.co.nz/stuff/0,2106,3511762a10,00.html
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12 December 2005
anonymous at 19:30
Wild Bird Flu is rapidly spreading over the Crimea peninsula threatening neighboring countries. We saw how it started in the northern regions of the Crimea and we want international community bring Yuschenko to account for his criminal inaction.
We are addressing international community international health organizations international ecology organizations everybody!!!
Actually Bird Flu was detected in the northern parts of Crimea about 3 months ago. First dozens, then thousands chickens, turkeys, geese and ducks died. Still there were no relevant measures taken, no quarantine, no state of emergency, no vaccination and no official information. There were only scary rumors circulating. Authorities were reluctant to explain anything. At last laboratory tests were conducted to determine if it was the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus. We were not informed of the results and we dont know them now. But more and more people were taken to local hospitals with unidentified type of pneumonia. Patients began to die and doctors were helpless. Those deaths. they caused real panic and spontaneous meetings in the streets. Authorities used force and threats to stop it. Some people were even taken to the police stations. Now its going on in the southern parts of the Crimea. Hospitals there are overcrowded. Virus stricken poultry is slaughtered . to be thrown on just into the sea! This threatens ecology of the Black sea, this threatens health of all peoples living on its shores in Turkey, Georgia, Rumania They say authorities kept us ignorant to go this summit Ukraine-EU smoothly. We want be part of Europe but lie is not the right way to enter European community. Our authorities dont tell us the truth. They assert the Bird Flu cant do harm to people. But people keep dying. We are scary for our children! Maybe president Yuschenko is not interested in real situation here widely known. He is playing his political games. Summits and elections are of more importance to him than lives of ordinary people in his country!
We dont trust Yuschenko and his people in power in the Crimea!
Save Crimea!!! Save the Black sea!!! Save yourselves!!!
Vladislav Skruba, chairman of the historical-patriotic movement Kazachina; Sergey Tolokonnikov, deputy director of the Region Museum in the city of Feodosia, candidate of historical sciences, member of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences; Rashid Immametdinov, head of the Ecology Committee of the Crimean Tatars Society.
http://www.fluwikie.com/index.php?n=Forum....thAboutSeverity
14 December 2005
By LEE MATTHEWS
Emergency managers are warning that a bird flu pandemic could last up to six months and people should be prepared to stay indoors that long.
Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management readiness manager Mike O'Leary said a bird flu pandemic could strike in multiple waves, lasting up to six months.
"Three waves of approximately eight weeks each is what we are planning for," Mr O'Leary told Human Resources magazine.
Local Government Online chief executive Jim Higgins said it is rubbish to think a pandemic would last a few days.
". . .I've heard people on television speaking of a pandemic lasting a week or two, and I think, 'That's complete rubbish.' More likely a pandemic is going to last for three to six months, with two or three waves of infection."
Local Government Online would be key to providing information during an pandemic.
New Zealand's existing emergency response planning is for short, sharp disasters, such as earthquakes or floods, with mop-up afterward.
"When you think about all the (emergency response) planning that's been done to date, none of it includes anything about not being able to go outside for an extended period of perhaps three to six months. This threat is unique," Mr Higgins said.
Mr O'Leary also warned New Zealand would large
ly have to manage alone: "Public expectations will be high that relief will come to them, but there will be no cavalry coming over the horizon."
Bird flu is now only a threat, but health experts are worried that a small mutation of the H5N1 virus could let it transmit between humans, and humans have no natural immunity to it.
Health Ministry senior clinical adviser Andrea Forde said the key to surviving any pandemic will be in how well prepared people are, how quickly people can respond and how soon recovery happens.
A pandemic outbreak would see quarantine measures imposed, closing schools and workplaces to prevent infection from spreading. International borders would also be closed, affecting exports and imports. The experts say it could take months to get business functioning again. Getting back to normal would take longer.
Mr Higgins said businesses had to accept the pandemic is going to happen and to start planning.
"It's not a Y2K scenario. If businesses fail to heed this and do not have contingency plans in place, they will most likely grind to a halt."
Ministry of Economic Development resources and networks director Tony Fenwick said a pandemic would see businesses close either because they had to or through reduced demand.
Key industries must plan now for a pandemic, Mr Fenwick said.
"Undisrupted provision of key infrastructure services, the food-supply chain, the capacity of the health sector, the continued operation of banking-payments systems and the legal system are areas we must focus on," he said.
Mr Higgins said the chance of containing bird flu, as Sars was contained, may be remote because of the more infectious nature of influenza.
". . .so we have to look at ways to ride a pandemic out. One of the best ways to do that will be to limit personal contact," he said.
That means businesses have to immediately start looking at ways staff can work from home. Email and telecommunications will be the top tools to keep functioning.
"This really is the sort of line we have to follow to avoid unnecessary infection."
http://www.stuff.co.nz/stuff/0,2106,3511762a10,00.html
Добавлено в [mergetime]1134568105[/mergetime]
Афигеть!
12 December 2005
anonymous at 19:30
Wild Bird Flu is rapidly spreading over the Crimea peninsula threatening neighboring countries. We saw how it started in the northern regions of the Crimea and we want international community bring Yuschenko to account for his criminal inaction.
We are addressing international community international health organizations international ecology organizations everybody!!!
Actually Bird Flu was detected in the northern parts of Crimea about 3 months ago. First dozens, then thousands chickens, turkeys, geese and ducks died. Still there were no relevant measures taken, no quarantine, no state of emergency, no vaccination and no official information. There were only scary rumors circulating. Authorities were reluctant to explain anything. At last laboratory tests were conducted to determine if it was the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus. We were not informed of the results and we dont know them now. But more and more people were taken to local hospitals with unidentified type of pneumonia. Patients began to die and doctors were helpless. Those deaths. they caused real panic and spontaneous meetings in the streets. Authorities used force and threats to stop it. Some people were even taken to the police stations. Now its going on in the southern parts of the Crimea. Hospitals there are overcrowded. Virus stricken poultry is slaughtered . to be thrown on just into the sea! This threatens ecology of the Black sea, this threatens health of all peoples living on its shores in Turkey, Georgia, Rumania They say authorities kept us ignorant to go this summit Ukraine-EU smoothly. We want be part of Europe but lie is not the right way to enter European community. Our authorities dont tell us the truth. They assert the Bird Flu cant do harm to people. But people keep dying. We are scary for our children! Maybe president Yuschenko is not interested in real situation here widely known. He is playing his political games. Summits and elections are of more importance to him than lives of ordinary people in his country!
We dont trust Yuschenko and his people in power in the Crimea!
Save Crimea!!! Save the Black sea!!! Save yourselves!!!
Vladislav Skruba, chairman of the historical-patriotic movement Kazachina; Sergey Tolokonnikov, deputy director of the Region Museum in the city of Feodosia, candidate of historical sciences, member of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences; Rashid Immametdinov, head of the Ecology Committee of the Crimean Tatars Society.
http://www.fluwikie.com/index.php?n=Forum....thAboutSeverity